The connection between the cryptocurrency market and traditional financial markets has always been a focal point for investors. By reviewing data from the past decade, we can observe an interesting phenomenon: the peak of the bull run in cryptocurrency does not seem to have a direct correlation with the interest rate cut cycles.

In 2013, interest rates remained relatively stable, and the market did not experience significant fluctuations. However, in 2017, despite being in a rate hike cycle, the encryption currency market still reached a peak, particularly noteworthy is that interest rates remained unchanged for three consecutive months at the peak.

The market trend in 2021 is even more thought-provoking. After experiencing a period of rate cuts to the bottom, interest rates remained low for a long time, while the encryption currency market rose to new highs against this backdrop.

Looking ahead to 2024, we see a more complicated situation. Although there were interest rate cuts in September and November, the market reactions were inconsistent, and the rate cut in December even coincided with a market decline. This abnormal phenomenon has sparked many speculations about the market trend in 2025.

If interest rates are cut in September 2025, will the market rise or fall? If the rates remain unchanged, what impact will that have? These questions highlight the complexity of the encryption currency market and remind investors not to overly rely on a single factor to predict market trends.

Overall, while interest rate policies do have an impact on the market, the price movements of cryptocurrencies seem to be more influenced by a combination of other factors, such as technological innovation, regulatory environment, and global economic conditions. Investors need to consider multiple factors comprehensively when formulating strategies, rather than overly relying on historical patterns or a single indicator.